电信发展大趋势(1).pptxVIP

电信传输研究所 赵慧玲 ;为信息产业部研究开展策略，技术体制,标准和标准，测试和任证。为电信运营公司提供技术支持：进行设备选型和技术咨询。例如：IN，SS7，ISDN，同步网，编号，SDH，WDM，接入网，帧中继，多媒体，ATM，IP，IP ，GSM，CDMA，高速讯呼和IMT－2000。 ;;Annual Revenue;Annual Income;MCI Worldcom Revenue mix;ATT revenue mix;Voice: 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 Main telephones in service: +36% +51% +57% +49% +35% Data: Number of Internet hosts: - - - +277% +820% Number of PCs: - +37% +55% +44% +42% Conclusion There is still a lot of growth in traditional voice The revenues largely come from the voice traffic ;Expected growth of Voice-over-IP;1;ATM and IP deployment in the backbone;The choices of some US operatorsATM, ATM/IP or IP;宽带平台和接入的技术焦点;宽带平台和接入的技术焦点;3、面临的可能挑战;3、面临的可能挑战; 新形势对电信网的要求(1) ;- 大型电信公司都在调整部署，削减传统公用电信网部门，加强数据通信特别是IP产品部门〔例子：爱立信〕 2).TCP-IP将成为电信网的主导的上层通信语言 3).必须保证网络端到端的效劳质量〔QoS〕，为此核心网局部必须引入SDH+ATM并保证其可用性与 网相当。 4).电信网的大趋势是逐步实现分组化，无连接 化和全球寻址，最终形成一无缝的IP网络结构！;5) 必须暂时放弃端到端ATM连接的理想，用户处将 以以太网/快速以太网和IP接入为主 6) 铜缆接入网必须改造，出路光纤+无线 7) 为应付IP及其他业务引起的巨大压力,以WDM技 术为代表的下一代大容量光网络建设势在必行， 长途主干线上应开始应用新一代光纤，各种IP 业务的旁路技术也大有市场 8) 对电信公司，实现 和数据的融合是首要任 务，下一步才是多媒体，三网融合是长远目标; 下一代网络;Core Network Migration for IP;可持续开展网络的根本要求;;IP over Optical;Multi-Services Data-Centric Network Vision;7R/E Architecture;How packet networks can provide voice services that are competitive with circuit switched networks;;;;7R/E is...;Core Data Network Today;Core Data Network Tomorrow;Routers that are interconnected via OC-48 pipes or higher can use IP/WDM interfaces Routers perform the interworking function between IP/ATM, IP/SDH and IP/WDM;;Local Network with EWSD BroadbandNode;EWSD BroadbandNode -Embedding in Existing Networks;;;;E-Cube Local Switch;;;;;Telecom Network Migration – 5;Alcatel 1000 S12;Alcatel 1000 S12;Alcatels transition strategy Only narrowband services, few ATM links;Alcatel’s transition strategy Broadband services and lot of ATM links;Alcatel 1000 S12;;Building the New World;Sp