车辆和自行车碰撞事故中骑车人下肢损伤风险研究.pdfVIP

振动与冲击 第42卷第11期 JOURNAL OFVIBRATIONAND SHOCK Vol. 42 No. 11 2023 车辆和自行车碰撞事故中骑车人下肢损伤风险研究 王丙雨l2，邹俊，韩勇1² ，OTTE Dietmar，刘天泉 （1.厦门理工学院机械与汽车工程学院，福建厦门361024； 2.福建省客车及特种车辆研发协同创新中心，福建厦门361024；3.汉诺威医学院事故调查科，汉诺威30625） 摘要：研究车辆与自行车碰撞事故中骑车人的下肢损伤风险，并确定车辆碰撞速度、自行车速度和骑车人特征 等参数对骑车人下肢严重损伤的影响。为此，从德国深入事故数据库（German in-depth accident study，GIDAS） 中挑选出 471个带有骑车人下肢损伤的案例，并对其进行描述性统计和成组独立样本T检验，使用逻辑回归方法建立自行车骑车 人下肢严重损伤风险函数模型，分析车辆碰撞速度、自行车速度和骑车人特征（年龄、身高和体重）对骑车人下肢严重损 伤风险的影响。结果表明：车辆碰撞速度、骑车人年龄和体重是影响骑车人下肢严重损伤的显著性因素，其中车辆碰撞速 度影响最为显著,其次是年龄和体重，且骑车人的下肢严重损伤风险与车辆碰撞速度、骑车人年龄和体重呈正相关。当汽 车碰撞速度为55km/h时，骑车人下肢严重损伤风险几率为50%。 关键词：骑车人下肢损伤风险；逻辑回归模型；车辆碰撞速度；骑车人年龄和体重 中图分类号：U461.91 文献标志码：A D0I:10. 13465/j. cnki. jvs. 2023. 11.038 A Study on bicyclist lower extremity injury risk in car-bicycle collisions WANG Bingyul.2, ZOU Jun, HAN Yong 2, OTTE Dietmar, LIU Tianquan. (1. School of Mechanical and Automotive Engineering, Xiamen University of Technology, Xiamen 361024, China; 2. Fujian Collaborative innovation center for R D of coach and special vehicle, Xiamen 361024,China; 3. Accident Research Unit, Medical University of Hannover, Hannover 30625, Germany) Abstract: This study aimed at investigating the injury risk of bicyclist lower extremity by using the real accident data. 471 cases with bicyclist lower extremity injuries from the German in-depth accident study (GIDAS) database were selected to conduct descriptive statistical study and independent samples T-test analysis to determine the effects of vehicle impact speed, cyclist speed, cyclist age, height and weight on the bicyclist serious lower extremity injury risk. Furthermore, bicyclist serious lower extremity injury risk model was established via logistic re