世界银行-更热的星球，更热的工厂：气候变化对生产力的不均衡影响（英）-2024.5.pdf

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uHotterPlanet,HotterFactories

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lUnevenImpactsofClimateChangeonProductivity

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AfricaRegion

OfficeoftheChiefEconomist

May2024

PolicyResearchWorkingPaper10762

Abstract

Thisstudydocumentstheimpactsofclimatechangeonlocated,butalsoonotherfactorssuchasfirmsize,industry

firm-levelproductivitybymatchingagloballycomparableclassification,incomegroup,andregion.Largefirms,firms

andstandardizedsurveyofnonagriculturalfirmscoveringinmanufacturing,andthoseinlow-incomecountriesand

154countrieswithclimatedata.Thefindingsshowthathotterclimatezonestendtoexperiencethebiggestpro-

theoveralleffectsofrisingtemperaturesonproductiv-ductivitylosses.Theunevenimpacts,withfirmsinalready

ityarenegativebutnonlinearandunevenacrossclimatehotterregionsandlow-incomecountriesexperiencing

zones.Firmsinhotterzonesexperiencesteeperlosseswithsteeperlossesinproductivity,suggestthatclimatechangeis

increasesintemperature.A1degreeCelsiusincreasefromreinforcingglobalincomeinequality.Ifthetrendsinglobal

thetypicalwet-bulbtemperatureleve