机电类出口产品质量指数非线性自校正模型及其应用.docVIP

第 44 卷第 1 期 2013 年 1 月  中南大学学报(自然科学版) Journal of Central South University (Science and Technology)  Vol.44 No.1 Jan. 2013  机电类出口产品质量指数非线性自校正模型及其应用 王涛生 1 ，左红艳 1, 2 ，陈健美 3 (1. 湖南省跨国投资与经营研究基地，湖南长沙，410205； 2. 中南大学资源与安全工程学院，湖南长沙，410083； 3. 湖南省工程车辆底盘制造工程技术研究中心，湖南长沙，410205) 摘要：为提高机电类出口产品质量测度的精度，对已有的质量估算方法进行修正，构建衡量机电类出口产品质量 测度估计模型，并采用函数链神经网络对其非线性自校正。研究结果表明：各行业机电类出口产品质量指数大多 在 0 以上，且分布较均衡，质量指数在高位、中位和低位上运行的行业各 3 种；各行业出口产品的平均质量指数 总体上呈持续下降趋势，但其中 4 个行业出口产品的质量指数呈上升趋势，其他行业呈下降趋势；具有非线性自 校正功能的机电类出口产品质量测度模型更能反映产品质量演进路径呈时间非线性变化实际趋势，可在较大程度 上提高机电类出口产品质量测度精度。 关键词：出口产品；质量指数；测度模型；非线性校正模型 中图分类号：TB114.1 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1672?7207(2013)01?0129?06  Nonlinear self-tuning model of quality index for electrical and mechanical export product and its application WANG Taosheng 1 , ZUO Hongyan 1, 2 , CHEN Jianmei 1 (1. Research Base of Multinational Investment and Operations in Hunan Province, Changsha 410205, China? 2. School of Resource and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China? 3. Research Center of Engineering Technology for Engineering Vehicle Chassis Manufacturing in Hunan Province, Changsha 410205, China) Abstract: In order to improve the accuracy of the measurement of the export product quality, the existing quality estimation method was modified, a measurement model of China’s export product quality was established, and its nonlinearity through the functional link neural network was self-corrected. The results show that the export product quality indices of industries are mostly larger than 0 and distribute evenly, namely there are three kinds of industries whose qualities are high, medium and low, respectively. In general, the average level of export products quality has a downward trend, while there are four industries in which the quality level of export products presents upward trend. In terms of the nonlinear self-correction function of the measur