蒙特卡罗法在黄土滑坡稳定性评价中的应用.pdfVIP

中国科技论文在线 蒙特卡罗法在黄土滑坡稳定性评价中的应 用 1 1,2** 张光鹏 ，刘高 5 （1. 兰州大学土木工程与力学学院，兰州 730000； 2. 兰州大学西部灾害与环境力学教育部重点实验室，兰州 730000 ） 摘要：滑坡稳定性研究一直是岩土工程领域一项重要的研究内容，传统的滑坡稳定性评价方 法，是以稳定性系数作为评价标准，其计算结果并不能客观地反映滑坡的真实稳定状态，基 10 于此，以蒙特卡罗方法为主的滑坡可靠性分析得到了广泛应用。以甘肃通渭地区某典型黄土 滑坡为例，采用蒙特卡罗法对滑坡的稳定性进行了评价，并结合传递系数法对计算结果作了 对比，得出了评价结果，可为滑坡的防治提供依据。 关键词：蒙特卡罗法；黄土滑坡；稳定性；失稳概率 中图分类号：P694 15 Application of Monte-Carlo method in the stability evaluation of loess landslide 1 1,2 ZHANG Guangpeng , LIU Gao (1. School of Civil Engineering and Mechanics,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000; 20 2. Key Laboratory of Mechanics on Disaster and Environment in Western China,The Ministry of Education of China,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000) Abstract : Research on the stability of landslide has been become an important research orientation in the field of Geotechnical engineering for many years. Generally, the stability evaluation methods of the landslide are not objectively reflect the real steady state in that its evaluation 25 standards only rely on the stability coefficients. Monte-Carlo method, one of the stability evaluation ways for landslide for many years, has been widely used in landslide stability evaluation because it can objectively reflect the safety degree of the landslide. Taking one loess land slide, which located in Tongwei, Gansu province, as an example, we assess the stability of the landslide by Monte-