中国省级人力资本水平度量与分析.docVIP

中国省级人力资本水平度量与分析 　　摘要：人力资本是经济增长的动力源之一，也是地区发展差异的主要原因，伴随着中国地区差异的不断增大，人力资本势必也存在一定的规律和特点。文章采用多元综合法对我国各省2001～2011年间人力资本的平均水平进行了测度和分析。研究结论为：省级地区的人力资本分为学研、应用、素质和健康四种类型，且它们对人力资本综合水平的贡献依次递减；人力资本和经济发展水平之间呈较强的省际同步变化关系；与此同时，各省按人力资本及其政策变量归为落后、发展中、欠发达以及发达四类地区，且各类地区在经济发展水平、人力资本政策和投资主体等方面存在显著差异。 　　关键词：探索性因子分析；聚类分析；人力资本；省级地区 　　中图分类号：F241 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1000-4149（2014）04-0003-11 　　DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2014.04.001 　　收稿日期：2014-01-11；修订日期：2014-05-26 　　作者简介：王询，东北财经大学经济学院教授，博士生导师；孟望生，东北财经大学经济学院博士研究生，甘肃政法学院经管学院讲师。 　　Measurement and Analysis of the Provincial Regions’ Human Capital in China： 　　Based on a Multivariate Complexapproach 　　WANG Xun1， MENG Wangsheng1，2 　　（1. School of Economics， Dongbei University of Finance Economics， Dalian 116025，China； 　　2. School of Economics and Management， Gansu Institute of Political Science and Law， Lanzhou 730070，China） 　　Abstract：Human capital is an important driving force for the economic growth， also it is the main reason for the development difference among regions. With the increasing of regional development difference in China， human capital will have some regularity and characteristics. This paper uses a multivariate complexapproach to measure and analyze the average level of human capital in these 31 provincial regions during 2001～2011. The results show that the human capital in every province has been composed by researching， application， quality and health and their contribution to the comprehensive level of human capital are descending； There is a strong synchronous change relationship between human capital and economic development among regions； The provinces could be classified into four categories’ area which are called backward， developing， less developed and developed area respectively according to human capital in different types and related policy variables. 　　Keywords：exploratory factor analysis； clustering analysis； human capital； provincial region 　　一、引言与测度方法回顾 　　卢卡斯（Lucus）提出新增长理论后，学界普遍认同“人力资本是经济增长主要动因之一”[1]的观点。