三、城市化与经济增长之间的关联机制及影响效应.docxVIP

目录摘要………………………………………………………………………2Abstract…………………………………………………………………2一、问题的提出3（一）研究背景3（二）研究的目的和意义3二、研究现状5三、城市化与经济增长之间的关联机制及影响效应6（一）南京城市化现状及趋势特征的描述6（二）南京经济发展的基本状况6（三）城市化与经济发展之间的关联机制及相互渗透效应7四、城市化与经济增长的互动理论及计量分析模型8（一）模型的构造原理8（二）模型选取指标体系的原则8（三）模型的指标体系9（四）模型的计量分析101、AHP模型的理论概述102、模型的运用Ⅰ——城市化水平的测度113、模型的运用Ⅱ——经济发展水平的测度124、模型的运用Ⅲ——南京市城市化综合质量的综合测度135、二者之间协调性评价模型145.1 灰色关联分析模型145.2 灰色关联模型的运用15五、政策建议16基于南京市城市化与经济发展的统计研究摘要：城市化是推动城市全方位快速稳定发展的强劲动力和必然趋势，为探讨南京市城市化的综合质量，本文综合考虑了两大方面的主要因素，即城市化水平和经济发展水平。然后再按照选取指标体系的相关原则并结合南京市的实际情况，两大方面分别选取了四个和六个指标；进而利用牛顿第二定律基本原理构造城市化综合质量的测评模型，得出南京市不同年份的城市化综合质量；再运用层次分析模型和灰色关联度模型，结合南京市统计年鉴2001—2010年数据，实例分析和考察南京市城市化的综合质量，以及影响城市化综合质量的两大因素：城市化水平和经济发展水平之间的协调性，并根据模型结论给出相应的政策建议。关键词：城市化水平经济发展水平灰色关联度模型 协调性Abstract：Urbanization is a strong motivation and an inevitable trend which is to promote the city a full range of fast and stable development , In order to explore the comprehensive quality of urbanization in Nanjing , In this paper we took into account two major aspects of the main factors : The level of urbanization and economic development. Then combined with the actual situation in Nanjing and in accordance with the relevant principles to select the index system , The two key aspects selected four and six indicators respectively; And then use the basic principles of Newtons second law evaluation to structure the evaluationmodel of the q comprehensive quality of urbanization, Obtained the comprehensive quality of the city of Nanjing in different years. Then use the analytic hierarchy process model and gray correlation model, Combined with the 2001-2010 data of the Statistical Yearbook of Nanjing, analysis and studying of the comprehensive quality of Nanjing City. As well as the two major factors that affect the quality of urbanization: the Coordination between the level of urbanization and economic development, And according to the model ,conclusions appropriate policy recommendations will be given at last.Key words：The level of urbanization，Level of economic