基于强化学习与牛鞭效应对策模型_孙若莹.pdfVIP

26 1 Vo.l 26 o. 1 2011 2 JournalofBeijing Information Science and Technology University Feb. 2011 : 1674- 6864( 2011)01- 0032- 04 孙若莹, 李 忱, 赵 刚 ( , 100192) : 在不确定供应链环境中提高供应链节点决策能力是提高竞争优势的 要方式 需求波动沿供应链从下游到上游逐级放大的牛鞭效应是供应链管理的重要问题在综合分析供 应链牛鞭效应的成因以及现有对策基础上,针对多层多节点供应链模型, 分析并运用强化学习理 论和方法, 提出有助于减弱牛鞭效应的强化学习算法该强化学习算法能够用在不确定多层多 成员供应链环境中, 可取得整体最大效益, 从而提高供应链的运作效率 : 供应链管理; 牛鞭效应; 强化学习; 行为代理 : TP 18; F 253 : A Solution m odel for the bu llwh ip effect in supp ly chain based on reinforcem ent learn ing SU Ruoying, LI Chen, ZHAO Gang ( School of InformationM anagement, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, Beijing 100192, China; ) Ab stract: In stochastic supply chain environm ents, mi proving decisionmaking practices is amajor approach to mi prove competitive advantage. The bullwhip effect is a phenomenon in a supply chain, in which the order variability increases asmoving upstream in the supply chain. By surveying m ajor causes to the bulwl hip effect and its previous solutions, a reinforcement learning method is proposed form inmi i zing the bulwl hip effect in the supply chainmodelw ithmultiple echelons andmultiplem embers in each echelon. As an mi provement to previousworks, the proposed reinforcement learning method can be uti lized to dealw ithmultiplemembers in each echelon and derive themaxmi alprofit in the stochastic sup ply chain. Key w ord s: supply chain managem ent; bulwl hip effec;t reinforcem ent learning; agent , 0 4: , ; ,; ,