东江流域多尺度洪水序列变异分析.pdfVIP

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2012, 1, 370-374 doi:10.4236/jwrr.2012.15057 Published Online October 2012 (/journal/jwrr.html) Analysis of Multi-Scale Flood Series Alteration in the * East River Basin # Jinghong Xie, Ping Xie , Bin Xu, Xi’nan Li State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan Email: #pxie@ Received: Jun. 18th th th , 2012; revised: Jun. 27 , 2012; accepted: Jul. 6 , 2012 Abstract: Under the influence of climate change and human activities, alterations may happen to the distri- bution regulations and parameters of flood series in the East River basin. In order to uncover the multi-scale flood series alterations on temporal and spatial scales, annual maximum 1-day, 3-day, 5-day and 7-day floods of the Longchuan, Heyuan, Lingxia and Bolo stations in the East River basin were chosen, then the hydro- logical alteration diagnosis system was used to analyze the alteration. Combining with the analysis of the in- fluence of climate change and human activities such as the alteration of precipitation series and water con- servancy facilities in the East River basin, the physical causes of flood alteration are mainly due to the cas- cade hydropower plants. Results indicate that the variation degree of annual maximum 1-day, 3-day, 5-day and 7-day floods at the Longchuan, Heyuan, Lingxia, and Bolo stations are different. It is shown that the re- lationship between stations is different and the influence of climate change is very little. Keywords: East River Basi