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TheProcessofManagingreTireMenTincoMesequenceof:管理的退休收入序列的过程.pdf
The Process of Managing reTireMenT incoMe
sequence of reTurns reverse Dollar
cosT averaging
Re-ordering the sequence of annual returns on an investment provides
great insight for planning a retirement distribution strategy. While this
would have no effect on an investment of a buy-and-hold investor, the
effect on a retirement portfolio under the stress of systematic withdrawals
can be quite dramatic.
The road of retirement should be Sequence of returns is simply the order
paved with more than good inten- in which returns are realized by a retiree. FiguRe 1. SP 500 index Sequence oF RetuRnS
tions. Soon-to-be retirees need to The consequences of a bad sequence of
develop and follow a retirement returns, especially early in retirement, can 1989–2008 2008–1989
income plan that balances current mean premature depletion of the portfolio. Year Sequence Sequence
lifestyle and long-term sustain- Retirees need to avoid being in the position
1 31.69 -37.00
ability of the retirement portfolio. of having to sell during inopportune market
The Road of Retirement series environments. Being forced to sell at the 2 -3.11 5.49
provides some best practices for wrong time can result in “reverse dollar cost
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