农户过量施肥风险认知和规避能力的影响因素分析(巩前文).pdfVIP

资源经济学 资源经济学 投稿领域：资资源源经经济济学学 农户过量施肥风险认知及规避能力的影响因素分析一 ——基于江汉平原284个农户的问卷调查 巩前文 穆向丽 田志宏1 2 1 （1中国农业大学经济管理学院，北京 100083；2华中农业大学土地管理学院， 湖北武汉 430075） 摘要：本文利用笔者对江汉平原实地问卷调查所得的数据，对农户过量施肥风险 认知及规避能力进行评价，并采用Probit 模型对农户过量施肥风险认知及规避能 力的影响因素进行实证分析。结果显示，家庭非农就业人数、户主性别、户主受 教育程度、土地是否租用、户主从事农业生产年数、是否接受过正规施肥技术培 训等因素对农户过量施肥风险认知及规避能力有显著影响，是主要影响因素。 关键词：农户；过量施肥；风险认知；规避能力；影响因素 The Analysis of Influencing Factors of Farmers’ Ability to Perceive and Avoid Risk Which Come from Overused Fertilizer Based on Survey in Jianghan Plain 1 2 1 Qianwen Gong , Xiangli Mu , Zhihong Tian (1 College of Economy and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing, 100083;2 College of Land Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China) Abstract: Abstract: AAbbssttrraacctt::The author of this paper evaluated Farmers’ Ability to Perceive and Avoid Risk Which Come from Overused Fertilizer, then the Influencing Factors were analyzed by using Probit model based on data of Survey in Jianghan Plain. The results showed that the number of domestic non- agricultural employment, the head of household gender, educational level of heads of households, land is leased, the head of household engaged in agricultural production, the number of years, whether or not to accept formal technical training, are major factors ,which influence farmers’ ability to perceive and avoid risk which come from overused fertilizer. Key words: Key words: KKeeyy wwoorrddss:: Farmers; Excessive Fertilization; Risk Perception; The Ability to Circumvent; Influencing Factors 一 本文得到天津市社会科学基金项目“加快推进天津设施农业建设中的政府补贴问题研究” （编号：TJYY08-1-012）的资助。 1 一、引言 中国自20 世纪60 年代初开始推广使用氨水。随后，碳酸氢氨、进口尿素