农户农地流转意愿影响因素的探讨_基于成都市_省略_地调查及主成分改进Logist.pdfVIP

·304 · 价值工程 农户农地流转意愿影响因素的探讨 ——— 基于成都市实地调查及主成分改进Logistic 回归分析 Influencing Factors of Farm Household′s Willingness of Rural Land Transmission: A Case Study of Chengdu Based on Modified Logistic Regression Analysis 梁霁宁① Liang Jining ；王渊闻② Wang Yuanwen ；段堃① Duan Kun ；邓春阳① Deng Chunyang （①西南交通大学公共管理学院，成都611756 ；②西南交通大学数学学院，成都611756） （①School of Public Administration ，Southwest Jiaotong University ，Chengdu 611756，China； ②School of Mathematics ，Southwest Jiaotong University ，Chengdu 611756，China） 摘要： 分析表明，影响农地流转意愿最大的三个因子依次为：非农工作所在地，非农工作人数比例以及农业人均年经营收入。结合成都统筹 城乡改革的经验，本文建议采用规划民营工业园区、提高农业经营收入等方式，来促进农地的流转和整合，提高农民可支配收入，实现资源和收 入的有效配置。 Abstract: According to the empirical analysis, we observed that three powerful influencing factors of farm household ′s willingness of rural land transmission are their locations of non-agricultural work, the proportions of non-farm population and annual agricultural incomes per capita. Referred to the experience of Chengdu′s urbanization, we proposed a plan of constructing private industrial parks, improving agricultural incomes etc., to promote the transfer and integration of agricultural land to raise the disposable income of farmers, and finally to achieve the efficient allocation of resources and income. 关键词： 农地流转；主成分分析；Logistic 回归 Key words: agricultural land transfer ；principal component analysis ；Logistic regression 中图分类号： 文献标识码： 文章编号： F321.1 A 1006-4311 （2012）02-0304-03 0 引言 通过这一选择实现其利益的较优。 中国土地制度的改革和农地流转市场的发展，充分体现了渐进 一般而言，影响