基于PSO的模糊神经网络短期负荷预测.pdfVIP

19 1 Vol. 19 No. 1 2007 2 　　　　　　　　　　　　 Proceedin s of the CSU-EPSA 　　　　　　　　　　　 Feb.　 2007 PSO 1 1 2 , , ( 1., 530004; 2., 543002) : ,( PSO)。 PSO , PSO , PSO 。 , ,, 。 : ; ; : TM 73　　 : A　　: 1003-8930( 2007) 01-0063-05 Fuzzy Neural Network Model Based on Particle Swarm Optimization for Short-term Load Forecasting 1 1 2 W U Jie-kan , C HEN Min -hua , C HEN Guo-ton ( 1. School of Electrical En ineerin , Guan xi University , Nannin 530004, China; 2. Guan xi Wuzhou Electric Pow er Company , W uzhou 543002, China) Abstract: Accordin to the trait of power load, this paper proposes a PSO based fuzzy neural netw ork model for short-term load forecastin . The model makes full use of th e lobal optimization of PSO and local accurat e searchin of BP. Practical ex ample indicates that the application of PSO～ FNN to short-term load , . forecastin is feasible and effective which can obtain more accurate result than conventional methods ey words: sh ort-term load forecastin ( S T LF); particle swarm optimization ( PSO) ; fuzzy optimal selection neural netw ork( FNN) (、 1　 ) ( 　　 ( STLF) 、 ) , 。 , , ,。[ 2, 3] ,, , ,, 、 , 。, 。 。 , , [1] 。 , ,、 、 , 。 , ,,, : 2005-12-23;: 2006-05-22 : ( 0640028) ; ( 2005A610013) ; ; · 64·