大同市城市化进程对市区气温的影响的研究.pdfVIP

S5 大同市城市化进程对市区气温的影响研究∗ 1 1 2 1 岳江 王小兰 朱彬 李明明 （1 山西省气象科学研究所，太原，030002 ） （2 南京信息工程大学 大气物理学院，南京，210044 ） 摘 要：根据大同市1961-2009年逐日气温、降水量、日照时数、相对湿度和风速以及阳高县1972-2009年逐 日气温资料以及大同市1990-2009年城镇人口数、建城区面积数据，采用趋势分析、回归分析、非参数Mann －Kendall 突变检验和R/S分析法研究大同市气温时间序列变化趋势和城市化进程对气温的影响，结果表 明：大同市年平均气温、极端高温、极端低温均呈上升趋势，极端高温的升温显著性最强；大同市城市化 对气温的平均贡献率为33.3% ，且大同市城市化对气温影响最显著的时期是2000年以后的时期；气温与相对 湿度呈显著负相关，与日照时数、城镇人口数呈显著正相关，与建城区面积呈较弱负相关性。大同市气温 存在Hurst现象，其年平均气温在未来将保持当前逐渐升高的趋势，且显著性较强。 关键字：城市化 气温 城市热岛 影响 中图分类号：P467 文献标识码：A Influence of Datong City Urbanization on Urban Temperature Change YUE Jiang1 WANG Xiaolan1 Zhu Bin2 LI Mingming1 ( 1 Shanxi Meteorological Science Research Institute, Taiyuan 030002, China) (2 School of Atmosphere physics, Nanjing University of Information Science Technology, Nanjing, 210044) Abstract: Based on the daily temperature, precipitation, sunshine duration, relative humidity and wind speed from 1961 to 2009 and Yanggao daily temperature during 1972 to 2009, urban population and city area from 1990 to 2009 of Datong city, using the methods of trend analysis, regression analysis, Mann-Kendall and R/S to study the changes of temperature series and the influence of urbanization degree to temperature. The results showed that: the trend of the yearly average temperature, extreme high temperature and extreme low temperature are rising, and the strongest is the extreme high temperature; The contribution rate of Datong temperature which caused by City Urbanization was 33.3%; After 2000, there’s an obvious influence of temperature increase effect to the temperature of Datong by City Urbanization; the temperature has significant ∗ 收稿日期： 项目资助名称及编号： 作者简介：岳江，女，工程师，硕