厂站接线可靠性分析的改进通用生成函数法.pdfVIP

38 卷 9 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 38 No. 9 20 14 年9 月 Power System Technology Sep. 20 14 文章编号：1000-3673 （20 14）09-2473-06 中图分类号：TM 645 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470 4051 厂站接线可靠性分析的改进通用生成函数法 1 1 2 王勇 ，韩学山 ，丁颖 1．电网智能化调度与控制教育部重点实验室( 山东大学) ，山东省 济南市 250061； 2．国网技术学院，山东省 济南市 250002 ） Improved Universal Generating Function Based Model and Algorithm for Assessment on Reliability of Station Scheme 1 1 2 WANG Yong , HAN Xueshan , DING Ying (1. Key Laboratory of Power System Intelligent Dispatch and Control (Shandong University), Ministry of Education, Ji ’nan 250061, Shandong Province, China; 2. State Grid of China Technology College, Ji ’nan 250002, Shandong Province, China) ABSTRACT: Based on the method of universal generating 出了厂站接线可靠性评估的模型和算法，解析获得反映厂站 function (UGF) and the theory of multi-state system (MSS), the 接线整体性能的多状态概率分布表达式，据此可灵活求取系 model and algorithm for reliability assessment of station scheme 统可靠性指标。通过分析厂站接线的特点，定义了合适的性 are proposed, and the MSS expression that reflects overall 能函数和相应的算子，将各元件的连通性归并到各自起始节 performance of station scheme can be obtained by the proposed 点上，以多项式的形式建立各节点的 u 函数模型， 通过 model is analyzed, on this basis various reliability indices of the 节点集的u 函数运算，获得综合反映厂站接线故障后果及其 station scheme can be calculated flexibly. Through analyzing the 发生概率的多状态系统u 函数；针对多环形拓扑结构中元件 features of station scheme, appropriate performance functions 的备用与功率的转移，引入桥连结构及其修正计算，改进了 and corresponding operators are defined and the connectivity of UGF 方法难以处理无