a probabilistic security assessment approach to power systems with integrated wind resources：综合风电系统的电力系统概率安全评估方法.pdfVIP

Renewable Energy 85 (2016) 114e123 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Renewable Energy journal homepage: /locate/renene A probabilistic security assessment approach to power systems with integrated wind resources * D.D. Le , A. Berizzi, C. Bovo Department of Energy, Politecnico di Milano, Milan 20156, Italy a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Renewable energy sources, such as wind and photovoltaic solar, have added additional uncertainty to Received 6 November 2014 power systems. These sources, further to the conventional sources of uncertainty due to stochastic nature Received in revised form of both the load and the availability of generation resources and transmission assets, make clear the 11 May 2015 limitations of the conventional deterministic power flow in power system analysis and security Accepted 15 June 2015 Available online xxx assessment applications. In order to manage uncertainties, probabilistic approaches can provide a valuable contribution. In this paper, we propose a new scheme for probabilistic security assessment. The model can deal with Keywords: Probabilistic power flow various types of probability distributions modeling power injections and can explicitly represent the Cumulant