The Impacts of Mosquito Density and Meteorological Factors on Dengue Fever Epidemics in Guangzhou, China, 2006-2014 a Time-series Analysis.pdfVIP

The Impacts of Mosquito Density and Meteorological Factors on Dengue Fever Epidemics in Guangzhou, China, 2006-2014 a Time-series Analysis.pdf

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The Impacts of Mosquito Density and Meteorological Factors on Dengue Fever Epidemics in Guangzhou, China, 2006-2014 a Time-series Analysis.pdf

BiomedEnvironSci.2015:28(51:321—329 321 OriginalArticle TheImpactsofMosquitoDensityandMeteOrolOgiCaI FactorsonDengueFeverEpidemicsinGuangzhou, China,2006.2014:aTime.seriesAnalysis SHENJiChuan’一,LUOLei一,LILi,JINGQinLong,OUChunQuan, YANGZhiCong .andCHEN XiaoGuang’, /KeyLaboratoryofPreventionandControlforEmergingInfectiousDiseasesofGuangdongHigherInstitutes, DepartmentofPclthogenBiology,SchoolofPublicHealthandTropicalMedicine,SouthernMedicalUniversity, Guangzhou510515,Guangdong,China;2.GuangzhouCenterofrDiseaseControlandPrevention,Guangzhou 510440,Guangdong,China;3StateKeyLaboratory ofOrganFnilureResearch,DepartmentofBiostat~tics, GuangdongPr()vinica/KyeLaboratoryofTropicalDeaseResearch,SchoolofPublicHealthandTropicalMedicine, SouthernMedicalUniversi .GuanKzhou510515,Guangdong,China Abstract 0bjective Toexploretheassociationsbetweenthemonthlynumberofdenguefever(DF1casesand possibleriskfactorsinGuangzhou,asubtropicalcityofChina. Methods ThemonthlynumberofDFcases,BreteauIndex(BI),andmeteorologicalmeasuresduring 2006—2014recordedinGuangzhou,China,wereassessed.Anegativebinomialregressionmodelwasused toevaluatetherelationshipsbetweenBI,meteorologicalfactors,andthemonthlynumberofDFcases. Results Atotalof39,697DFcasesweredetectedinGuangzhouduringthestudyperiod.DFincidence presentedanobviousseasonalpattern.withmostcasesoccurringfrOm JunetoNovember.Thecurrent monthsBI,averagetemperature(ve),previousmonthsminimumtemperature(nn『),and vewere positivelyassociatedwithDFincidence.Athresholdof18.25。Cwasfoundintherelationshipbetween thecurrentmonthsTminandDFincidence. Conclusion Mosquitodensity,Tove.andTminplayacriticalroleinDFtransmissioninGuangzhou.These findingscouldbeusefulinthedevelopmentofaDFearlywarningsystem andassistineffectivecontroI

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