第五章学习曲线研讨.ppt

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 王茂丽 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Just in case it’s not obvious why we are talking about learning curves and their impact, consider this slide. If we did NOT learn at all, this slide shows what the position would be, assuming that the number of batches was the same as in previous slides and we started at a total time of 50 (days, hours, minutes …. doesn’t matter). If there is no learning taking place, the CAT will be a constant 50. Compare this table with the table on slide Learning Curve 4 * Here we have a table containing the number of batches of a job or product that we have carried out or made. In the second column we have recorded the TOTAL time taken for 1 batch, then 2 batches, then 4 batches and so on. We are required here to work out the CAT = Cumulative Average Time for each combination of total time and batches. * Still concentrating only on labour costs, and assuming a rate of pay of 1 per hour, this table gives us the total labour cost at the various numbers of batches produced when there is no learning … compare this with the previous slide. There’s a huge difference between them. * Still concentrating only on labour costs, and assuming a rate of pay of 1 per hour, this table gives us the total labour cost at the various numbers of batches produced when there is no learning … compare this with the previous slide. There’s a huge difference between them. * Surprised? The differences between the two columns become larger and larger … * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * / 华侨大学工商管理学院 学习曲线的应用 制定标准时间 计算产品销售价格 预测产品的制造工时 考察系统的稳定性 考核工人的工作绩效 …… * / 华侨大学工商管理学院 预测作业时间 例题一：某厂生产一批产品，生产第一件产品需要10h，其学习率为95% 求： （1）生产第51件产品的工时为多少？ （2）生产前100件产品的平均工时是多少？ （3）设产品的标准时间为7h，要生产多少 件产品才能到达标准时间？ （4）操作者需要多长的时间才能达到标准？ * / 华侨大学工商管理学院 求解 （1）因为p=0.95，所以b=0.074 T51=KX-b=10h×51-0.074=7.48h * / 华侨大学工商管理学院 (2)生产前100件产品的平均工时是