GreeceTheway ahead希腊：未来的道路.docxVIP

Greece:The way ahead 希腊：未来的道路 出自译者说 HYPERLINK /forum.php?mod=viewthreadtid=454extra=page%3D1 Greece:The way ahead 翻译：tutuintardis 校对：梦佳，Jane，Nelson A deal between Greece and its creditors would be best. But if there has to be a Grexit, here is how to do it 希腊与债权人达成协议将是最好的结果。但如果退欧无可避免，以下是具体做法。 IN A crisis studded with missed deadlines, Sunday July 12th really could mark the denouement of the Greek debt drama. The leaders of the euro zone along with those of all the EU’s 28 member countries will gather for a set of meetings in Brussels. If Alexis Tsipras, Greece’s prime minister, can strike a deal with his creditors that day, his country will stay afloat inside the euro. If there is no such deal, Greece is heading inexorably towards the whirlpool of Grexit. Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council—a Pole not prone to hyperbole—calls it “the most critical moment in the history of the EU”.希腊在债务危机中屡屡延期，事实上本周日（7月12号）举办的欧盟峰会将标志着希腊债务闹剧的收场。届时欧元区领导人与欧盟各国领导人将齐聚布鲁塞尔举行一系列会谈。如果当天希腊总理齐普拉斯能与债权人达成协议，希腊就可以留在欧元区，维持经济运转。否则，希腊将无可挽回地卷入退欧漩涡。欧洲理事会主席塔斯克这位不善修辞的波兰人称当前是“欧盟历史上最危急的时刻”。All sides insist that their aim is not to eject Greece from the euro, but rather to find a way to keep it in. But the more honest European politicians admit that the likelihood of Grexit has never been higher. Betting now puts it at around 50%. Shockingly, for something so imminent, probable and with such dramatic consequences, there has been remarkably little public debate about how Greece would leave the euro. The best outcome for Europe would still be a deal on July 12th that keeps Greece in. But it is also time to make contingency plans for the sort of Grexit that does the least harm.各方坚称目标不是将希腊逐出欧元区，而是找到让希腊留欧的途径。但欧盟一些较坦诚的政治家承认希腊退欧几率之高前所未有。博彩业估计概率在50%左右。希腊退欧这一大概率事件迫在眉睫，后果严重，但令人震惊的??对于希腊退欧方式的公开讨论少之又少。对欧盟而言最好的结果仍将是7月12日各方达成协议将希腊留在欧元区。但也是时候制定应急预案应对希腊退欧这类事件将伤害降到最低。Tsipras rows, again齐普拉斯再次与债权人发生争吵In principle, a deal between Greece and its creditors should not be hard. The reforms Mr Tsipra