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Changes in Gulf Shoreline Position, Mustang, and North Padre Islands, Texas
James C. Gibeaut, Tiffany Hepner, Rachael Waldinger, John Andrews, Roberto Gutierrez, Thomas A. Tremblay, Rebecca Smyth
With assistance from Liying Xu
A Report of the Texas Coastal Coordination Council pursuant to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Award No. NA97OZ0179
GLO Contract Number 00-002R
Bureau of Economic Geology
Scott W. Tinker, Director
The University of Texas at Austin
Austin, Texas 78713-8924
May 2001
Contents
Introduction 1
The Nature of Shoreline Change 1
Long-Term Change 2
Short-Term Change 3
Episodic Shoreline Retreat 3
Previous Work 4
Methods 4
Airborne LIDAR Survey and Extraction of 2000 Shoreline 4
Historical Shoreline Mapping 6
Geographic Information System (GIS) 7
Calculation of Average Annual Rate of Shoreline Change 7
Beach Profiles 8
Average Annual Rate of Shoreline Change 9
Discussion and Conclusions 10
References 12
Appendix – Plots of beach profiles and data tables 14
Introduction
This report presents long-term rates of shoreline change along the Texas Gulf of Mexico Shoreline from Aransas Pass to the north boundary of the Padre Island National Seashore. This shoreline reach includes the barrier islands of Mustang and North Padre. The successive positions of historical shorelines are combined in a linear regression model that provides the average annual rate of shoreline change. Based on previous years, therefore, these rates indicate how the shoreline is expected to advance seaward or retreat landward during the next several decades, making this information useful for coastal planning. The Bureau of Economic Geology is currently updating shoreline change rates for most of the Texas coast under the Texas Shoreline Change Project. All data, including what is presented in this report, are being placed in a web-based Geographic Information System (ArcIMS) on the Bureau’s Coastal Studies
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