phased implementation（分阶段实现）（54页）.docVIP

Science Plan for Arctic System Modeling A report by the Arctic research community for the National Science Foundation Office of Polar Programs Lead Authors: A. Roberts1,2, L. Hinzman2, J. E. Walsh2, M. Holland3, J. Cassano4, R. D?scher5, H. Mitsudera6, A. Sumi14 Major contributors: U. Bhatt2,10, C. Deal2, S. Elliot13, M. Follows9, H. Lantuit12, D. Lawrence3, W. Maslowski7, A. D. McGuire2,8, P. P. Overduin12, I. Overeem11, V. Romanovsky10 Arctic Region Supercomputing Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks National Center for Atmospheric Research Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute Institute of Low Temperature Science, Hokkaido University Naval Postgraduate School Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks Massachusetts Institute of Technology Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research Los Alamos National Laboratory Center for Climate System Research, University of Tokyo This draft is available for download at: /presentations/ASM_08/ASM_Science_Plan_draft_02Dec08.doc Contents Executive summary 3 Motivation 5 Vision and description 6 Summary of capabilities 7 Ongoing activities 8 International collaboration 9 Recommended approach and strategy 10 Model constituents 10 Model domain 11 Organization and coordination 13 Infrastructure needs 15 Core activities and phased implementation 15 Science Vignettes 19 Arctic sea ice trajectory 19 Introduction 19 Model requirements 19 Needs for an ASM 21 Carbon feedbacks to climate in the Arctic system 23 Introduction 23 Simulating the complete carbon Ccycle 23 Summary 24 Processes affecting glacier mass balance 28 Arctic coastal erosion along the Beaufort Sea, Alaska 31 Biosph