New Opportunities for Economic Assessment with Rural Household农村家庭经济评价的新契机.pptVIP

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New Opportunities for Economic Assessment with Rural Household农村家庭经济评价的新契机.ppt

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New Opportunities for Economic Assessment with Rural Household农村家庭经济评价的新契机

New Opportunities for Economic Analysis with Rural Household Data in China Bryan Lohmar Linxiu Zhang and Fred Gale Motivation Dramatic changes in China over the last 25 years after production autonomy was extended to farm households Understanding how farm households respond to policies in the new environment requires data that encompasses all aspects of household economic activity This Presentation Outlines: The establishment of household surveys in China The changes in household economic activity as households are increasingly extended economic autonomy How research results from household data can help policymakers understand important aspects of the rural economy Traditional Sources of Data Starting in 1949, local agricultural stations collected data on agricultural production and reported these to higher level offices, ultimately aggregated by the Ministry of Agriculture and passed on to the State Statistical Bureau Limited household survey information Emphasis on grain production and input use Opportunities for bias Post-reform Household Survey Data Since reforms began in 1979, many state agencies and independent research institutes have conducted household surveys: National Bureau of Statistics Annual survey after 1977, about 68,000 households (world’s largest), sample rotates on a 3-year cycle Ministry of Agriculture Annual survey after 1986, about 21,000 households, panel data Others Multiple smaller scale surveys carried out by Chinese academies and universities as well as government agencies Changes in China’s Rural Economy,1980-2004 Reforms in 1979 restored household production autonomy Household survey data allows social scientists to analyze important trends in China’s economy such as: Off-farm labor movement Increasing horticultural and livestock production Decreasing grain consumption Percent of Rural Labor Working Off-Farm is Increasing Non-Grain Agricultural Production and Grain Production Share of Rural Household Income from Farm A