流域水资源与环境经济系统优化研究.pdfVIP

44 节水灌溉·2007年第3期 文章编号：1007—4929(2007)03—0044—03 流域水资源与环境经济系统优化研究 秦 丽 云 (南京农业大学公共管理学院，江苏南京210095) 摘 要：如何保护流域环境，合理开发利用自然资源，是当今世界所面临的共同问题。针对我国流域资源与环境 的特点，要使经济快速、持续发展，必须解决好水资源与环境系统优化问题。以淮河流域为例，运用系统动力学的方 法，对淮河流域水资源可持续利用系统作出分析，经过政策模拟对比，提出了符合淮河流域经济发展的最佳方案。研 究表明，水资源的合理开发和科学利用是制约流域社会经济持续发展的重要因素，只有协调发挥两者的作用，才能保 证资源开发与环境保护的可持续发展。 关键词：系统动力学；水资源；淮河流域；环境保护 中图分类号：TK730．2；0357．5 文献标识码：A Study on System Optimization of Environmental Economy and Water Resources in Basin OIN Li—yun (College of Public Administration，Nanjing Agricultural University，Nanjing 210095，China) Abstract：How to protect basin environment and how tO utilize natural resources in reason are common problem in the world．Accord— ing tO the characteristic of basin resources and environment of China，system optimization of water resource and environment must be solved to develop sustainable economy in basin．Taking Huai River Basin as an example，the paper used system dynamics method to analyze the sustainable utilization system of water resources in Huai River basin．The optimal scheme suitable for the economy devel— opment of Huai river basin was put forward through policy simulating contrast．The study result showed that the reasonable develop— ment and scientific utilization of water resource were important restricting factors for the sustainable development of the economy and social in basin．It could guarantee the sustainable development of resources utilization and environment protection only by the harmo— nious relation between them． Key words：system dynamics；water resources；Huai River Ba sin；environmental protection 流域是一个以水资源为主要控制因素且以人为核心的功 1 模型的建立 能健全的复合生态系统，系统内的生态环境、经济社会发展都 和