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Biological applications of the theory of birth-and-death processes
Biological applications of the theory of birth-and-death
processes
Artem S. Novozhilov, Georgy P. Karev, and Eugene V. Koonin*
National Center for Biotechnology Information, National Library of Medicine, National
Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20894
*To whom correspondence should be addressed. Email koonin@
Abstract
In this review, we discuss the applications of the theory of birth-and-death processes to
problems in biology, primarily, those of evolutionary genomics. The mathematical
principles of the theory of these processes are briefly described. Birth-and-death
processes, with some straightforward additions such as innovation, are a simple, natural
formal framework for modeling a vast variety of biological processes such as population
dynamics, speciation, genome evolution, including growth of paralogous gene families
and horizontal gene transfer, and somatic evolution of cancers. We further describe how
empirical data, e.g., distributions of paralogous gene family size, can be used to choose
the model that best reflects the actual course of evolution among different versions of
birth-death-and-innovation models. It is concluded that birth-and-death processes, thanks
to their mathematical transparency, flexibility and relevance to fundamental biological
process, are going to be an indispensable mathematical tool for the burgeoning field of
systems biology.
2
Introduction
Mathematics has long been intertwined with the biological sciences. The
importance of mathematical approaches in many areas of biology is obvious but it is less
appreciated that biological questions have stimulated the emergence of a variety of new
directions in mathematics. Among many others, the areas of mathematics fully or
partially developed in response to demands of biology include branching processes,
traveling wave solutions of reaction-diffusion systems, Tur
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