低碳经济下物流能源效率与结构调整研究——基于技术差异视角.pdfVIP

《生态经济》第 30 卷第 9 期(2014 年 9 月) Ecological Economy , Vo l. 30, No. 9 (September 2014) 低碳经济下物流能源效率与结构调整研究 一一基于技术差异视角 张诚，周安，张志坚 (华东交通大学经济管理学院，江西南昌 330013) 摘要:随着社会和政府对碳排放的日益关注，低碳成为未来物流业发展的趋势。在借鉴已有研究成果基础上，构造 超越对数函数模型对物流业不同能源投入要素的产出弹性、替代弹性以及技术进步差异情况进行分析，研究结果表 明: 2002年开始我国物流能源利用效率在显著提高，尤以天然气能源、投入的贡献最大:电力、天然气为代表的清洁 能源可以有效替代石油和煤炭，并且天然气、电力等能源技术进步速度要快于石油、煤炭，未来物流业高碳排放能 源将被清洁能源逐步替代。研究结果反映了我国物流业能源消耗的实际现状，可以为政府、企业发展低破物流进行 科学决策提供有益参考。 关键字:低碳物流:超越对数函数:岭回归:产出与替代弹性:技术差异 中图分类号: F259.21 文献标识码:A 文章编号: 1671-4407(2014)09-059-05 Logistics Energy Efficiency and the Structure Adjustment in the Low-Carbon Economics: From the Perspective of Technical Differences ZHANG Cheng, ZHOU An, ZHANG Zhijian (Economic and Management School, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang Jiangxi 330013 , China) Abstract: With the increasing concem 企om the govemment and the whole society, the conc叩，t oflow-car也on will be 也e future development trend of the logistics industry. Based on current research results, this paper discusses translog production function analyses output elastici纱 the elasticity of substitution and the technological progress of the different energy inputs in logistics indus町. The results demons回.te 伽t: 1. Logistics e伍ciency increased significantly in China since 2002, arnong which natural 伊 mak.e the biggest contribution; 2. Clean ene咆y like elec创city and natural gas can effectively replace oil and coal, and 也e elec创city and natural gas technology improved faster than that of oil and coal in the logistics indus町. Clean ene喀y will gradually replace high-carbon emission energy in the future.ηle findings reflect the status quo of energy consumption in the logistics indus町 m China, which provides future reference for the govemment and private sectors to develop low-carbon logistics. Key words: low-carbon logistics; translog production function; ridge regression; output elasticity and the elasticity of substitution; technological disparity 1 引言 低碳物流的提出主要归结于社会和政府对发展低碳经济 的倡导，而低碳经济这一术语最早出现