应用灰色理论预测混合动力汽车蓄电池的剩余容量.pdfVIP

2009 年 9 月 25 日第 26 卷第 5 期 \.ì仿电1.1.民~ Telecom Power Technology Sep. 25 , 2009 , Vol. 26 No. 5 文章编号: 1009-3664(2009)05-0054-05 曹晦混专辑; 应用灰色理论预测混合动力汽车蓄电池的剩余容量 胡建明，陈渊睿 (华南理工大学电力学院，广东广州 510640) 摘3露:电池.11铃容i:预测是混合动力汽...一个非常关键的问题，文章在分析混合动力汽...蓄电池充电和放电特性的 基础上，针对蓄电池内阻与剩余容量之间的非线性关系，采用了…种在绒的灰色 GM(1，1)模型草平方法对蓄电池单元的剩 命容爱进行预测。但是采用简单的灰色模型对蓄电池的容量进行预测会带来很大的误差，义中首先用灰色 GM(1 ，1)的 常规模型尿理并对蓄电池剩命容量建立了简单的模型，其次详细分析了采用灰色 GM(1，l)模型群的方法来提高预测精 度的原理及方法。仿真模型的给采不但农明灰色 GM(1，1)的模型晕乎能有效地提高预测精度，而且避免了单个灰色 GM (1 ，1)的模型由于不稳定信息造成的不足z最后通过残差检验，检测误差较小，具有较强的可信度，适用于混合动力汽牟的 蓄电池剩余容量预测。 关键词:混合动力汽车;蓄电池 p灰色 GM(1，1)模型群;预测 中图分类号:丁M912 文献标识码:A Forecasting Battery Surplus Capacity ín Hybrid Electric Vehicle Using Grey Theory HU Jiarrming , CHEN Yuan-rui (凹ectric Power College , South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640 ,China) Abstract: Forecasting battery surplus capacity is a key technology in hybrid electric vehicle. on the basis of the pulse charge and discharge characteristic of the sωrage cell used for hybrid electric vehicle, a real-time online GM (1 , 1) forecast model is establishedωforecast the cell capacity in ωnsideration of the non-linear relationship between the intemal resist- ance of the battery and cell capacity. 丁he normal modeling theory of GM (1 , 1) are introduced firstly , however , the online forecast of 5ωrage cell is worked with the grey GM (1 , 1) model group to improve the precision. Then the principle and method of grey GM (1 , 1) model groupωimprove the precision are analyzed in detail. The results of simulation indicate that the grey GM (1 , 1) model group can obviously improve the precision of forecasting , increase the reliability of forecas- ting and also avoid the deficiencies of simple gray model , which was easily affected by unstable information. so it can do the early forecasting evaluation to the capacity of battery, which is fit for the r叫uest of the HEV welL Key words: Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEV); battery; grey GM (1, 1) model group; forecast Introduc