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Computationally efficient calibration of WATCLASS Hydrologic models using surrogate optimization.doc

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Computationally efficient calibration of WATCLASS Hydrologic models using surrogate optimization

Hydrol.EarthSyst.Sci.Discuss.,4,2307–2321,2007 /4/2307/2007/ ?Author(s)2007.Thisworkislicensed Hydrology and Earth System Sciences HESSD 4,2307–2321,2007 Discussions underaCreativeCommonsLicense. Surrogate optimization PaperspublishedinHydrologyandEarthSystemSciencesDiscussionsareunder open-accessreviewforthejournalHydrologyandEarthSystemSciences M.Kamalietal. TitlePage Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures Computationallye?cientcalibrationof WATCLASSHydrologicmodelsusing surrogateoptimization J J I I M.Kamali,K.Ponnambalam,andE.D.Soulis UniversityofWaterloo,Waterloo,ON,Canada Back Close Received:16May2007–Accepted:25May2007–Published:23July2007 Correspondenceto:M.Kamali(mkamali@engmail.uwaterloo.ca) FullScreen/Esc Printer-friendlyVersion InteractiveDiscussion EGU 2307 Abstract HESSD Inthisapproach,explorationofthecostfunctionspacewasperformedwithaninexpen- sivesurrogatefunction,nottheexpensiveoriginalfunction. TheDesignandAnalysis ofComputerExperiments(DACE)surrogatefunction,whichisonetypeofapproximate models,whichtakescorrelationfunctionforerrorwasemployed.TheresultsforMonte CarloSampling,LatinHypercubeSamplingandDesignandAnalysisofComputerEx- periments(DACE) approximate model have been compared. The results show that DACEmodelhasagoodpotentialforpredictingthetrendofsimulationresults. The casestudyofthisdocumentwasWATCLASShydrologicmodelcalibrationonSmokey- 4,2307–2321,2007 Surrogate optimization 5 M.Kamalietal. 10 Riverwatershed. TitlePage 1 Introduction Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures Hydrologic model calibration has been a challenge for hydrologists for decades. A hydrologicmodelisarepresentationofapartofnaturewhichiscapableofreproduc- ingsomeofitscharacteristics,suchasstream?ow. Generally,inahydrologicmodel, 15 manyparametersareinvolvedandtheprocessof?ndingthesuitablevaluesforthese parametersiscalledmodelcalibrationorparameterestimation. Theprocessofparameterestimationwillbeessentiallyanopti