应对风电出力不确定性的备用成本分摊联盟博弈方法.pdfVIP

控制理论与应用 Vol. 33 No. 4 第 33 卷第4 期 2016 年4 月 Control Theory Applications Apr.2016 DOI: 1O.764 1/CTA.2016.50610 应对风电出力不确定性的备用成本分摊:联盟博弈方法 刘 斌1 ，陈来军2 ↑，汪雨辰1 ，梅生伟2 (1 陕西省地方电力(集团)有限公司，陕西西安 71∞61; 2. 清华大学电机系，北京 1仪则84) 摘要:大规模风电并网后，风电出力的不确定性将导致系统调度需要增加额外的备用及运行成本.如何公平、合 理地在风电场间分摊该成本I!P成为大规模风电接入与消纳需要研究的重要问题之一.为解决此问题，本文基于联盟 博弈理论提出了一种新的成本分摊方法，使得应对风电出力不确定性所增加的备用成本能够在各风电场间实现合 理分摊.该方法由两部分组成:首先应用联盟博弈促成风电场在上报其预测信息时的合作，以降低系统调度总 成本及风电场所需分摊的总成本;进而采用Shapley值保证风电场备用成本分摊的公平性.论文以IEEE39节点系统 为仿真算例，分析了风电场装机容量、预测精度、预测误差相关性等因素对风电场分摊成本的影响，验证了所提方 法的有效性. 关键词:风电出力不确定性;成本分摊;联盟博弈; Shapley值 中图分类号:TM315 Allocating reserve cost for hedging against wind generation uncertainty: a coalitional-game-theoretic approach LIU Binl , CHEN L旺jun坷， WANG Yu-chen 1, MEI Sheng-wei2 (1. Shaanxi Local Elec町ic Power Group Co. , Ltd. , Xi an Shaanxi 71α而1 ， China; 2. Department of Elec位ical Engin四ring， Tsinghua University, Beijing 1α泊84， China) Abstract: With large-scale wind power integrated into power gr凶， more and more day-址lead reserve capacity and operation cost is required to hedge against the uncertainty of wind power generation in power system operation. However, how to sh缸毡 the cost 缸nong wind power plants in a reasonable way become one of the important issues on large剖ale wind power integration and consumption. This pa严r proposes a coalitional-game-theoretic approach to allocate the cost of associated reserve capacity reasonably and fairly. Firstly, the coalitional game is applied to encourage the collaboration of wind farms for reducing the total cost. Secondly, the Shapley value is adopted t