小宗农产品价格变动机制研究.docVIP

Modern Management 现代管理, 2013, 3, 7-11 /10.12677/mm.2013.31002 Published Online January 2013 (/journal/mm.html) Research on Large-Volume Agricultural Product Prices Change Mechanism* Wen Zheng , Kongwang Wang , Huan Guo 1,2 2 2 1 School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 2 School of Economics and Business, Institute of Macro-Management, Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao, Qinhuangdao Email: reseacherzw@126.com Received: Aug. 18 , 2012; revised: Sep. 12 , 2012; accepted: Sep. 23 , 2012 th th rd Abstract: Large-volume agricultural product prices are effected by many factors, which are a complex sys- tem, the complex adaptive system ideas as a theoretical guidance to build a large-volume agricultural product market theoretical model. First, the causes of the large-volume agricultural product prices change mechanism are analyzed. Then, we use the complex adaptive system theory and feedback method to explore the large- volume agricultural product market prices change mechanism, abstract out a mathematical system equation to describe the theoretical model. After then, the strategy jump between the market reseller principles is ana- lyzed. Finally, we point out the main factors of the large-volume agricultural product market price movement, the prices will respond to the market excess demand and constantly adjust the price. The conclusion can pro- vide theoretical basis for further research. Keywords: Agricultural Product; Price Movement; CAS; Modeling 小宗农产品价格变动机制研究* 2 文 1,2，汪孔望，郭欢 2 郑 1 北京航空航天大学经管学院，北京 东北大学秦皇岛分校，经贸学院宏观管理研究所，秦皇岛 2 Email: reseacherzw@126.com 收稿日期：2012年 8月 18日；修回日期：2012年 9月 12日；录用日期：2012年 9月 23日 摘 要：小宗农产品价格受多种因素影响，属于一个复杂性的系统，以 CAS复杂适应系统思想作为理 论指导，建立了小宗农产品市场理论模型。首先，对小宗农产品价格波动机制的成因进行分析。然后，