基于x2统计量的群决策中专家估值偏差的一致性检验.pdfVIP

第42卷第11期 + ctl 绅亨.a 大辈辈私 Vo l. 42 ,No. 11 JOURNAL OF UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF CH阳A Nov. 20 1 2 2012 年11 月 文章编号:0253-2778(2012) 11-0942-05 基于 χ2 统计量的群决策中 专家估值偏差的一致性检验 高先务，刘心报，刘 林 (合肥工业大学管理学院，安徽合肥 230009) 摘要z 群决策中，如何从专家给出的结果中分析出，专家的决策结果是否符合要求，即专家的估值偏 差是否满足期望的一致性要求.利用卡方统计量，可以对专家估值结果偏差的一致性做多角度检 验:①群专家估值偏差的一致性检验;②专家估值偏差的一致性检验;③方案估值偏差的一致性检 验;④属性估值偏差的一致性检验;⑤任意专家、方案和属性组合估值偏差的一致性检验.最后，给 出一个算例. 关键词:群决策;正态分布;l 统计量;偏差 申圈分类号:C934 文献标识码:A doi: 10. 3969/j. issn. 0253-2778. 2012. 11. 015 引用格式:G也o Xianwu , Liu Xinbao , Liu Lin. Consistency checks for deviation of su问ective evaluation in GDM based on ;( statisticD]. Journal of University of Science and Tl优hnology of China , 2012 ,42(11) :942-946. 高先务，刘心报，刘林.基于χ2 统计量的群决策中专家估佳偏差的一致性检验[J].中国科学技术大学 学报，2012 ， 42(11):942-946. Consistency checks for deviation of subjective evaluation in GDM based on X2 statistic GAO Xianwu , LIU Xinbao , LIU Lin (School of Manageme时 ， Hefei University of Technology , Hefei 230009 , China) Abstract: 1t was discussed that how to judge whether an expert s results meet the requirements for group decision making , that is , whether the experts deviation of subjective evaluation satisfies the consistency requirement. Based on chi-square statistic , deviation checks were performed on the consistancy of the following aspects: overall deviation , experts deviation , deviation of alternatives , deviation of attributes and the deviation of an aggregation of experts alternatives and attributes. Finally , a case was presented. Key words: group dec