Net Efficacy Adjusted for Risk (NEAR) A Simple Procedure for Measuring RiskBenefit Balance 英文参考文献.docVIP
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Net Efficacy Adjusted for Risk (NEAR) A Simple Procedure for Measuring RiskBenefit Balance 英文参考文献
NetEfficacyAdjustedforRisk(NEAR):ASimple
ProcedureforMeasuringRisk:BenefitBalance
Jose′ N.Boada*,CarlosBoada,MarGarc?′a-Sa′iz,MarcelinoGarc?′a,EduardoFerna′ndez,EugenioGo′mez
ClinicalPharmacologyUnit,PharmacovigilanceCentre,UniversityHospitalofCanaryIslands,UniversityofLaLaguna,LaLaguna,SantaCruzdeTenerife,Spain
Abstract
Background: Although several mathematical models have been proposed to assess the risk:benefit of drugs in one
measure,theiruseinpracticehasbeenratherlimited.Ourobjectivewastodesignasimple,easilyapplicablemodel.Inthis
respect,measuringtheproportionofpatientswhorespondfavorablytotreatmentwithoutbeingaffectedbyadversedrug
reactions(ADR)couldbeasuitableendpoint.However,remarkablyfewpublishedclinicaltrialsreportthedatarequiredto
calculatethisproportion.Asanapproachtotheproblem,wecalculatedtheexpectedproportionofthistypeofpatients.
Methodology/PrincipalFindings:Theoretically,responderswithoutADRmaybeobtainedbymultiplyingthetotalnumber
ofrespondersbythetotalnumberofsubjectsthatdidnotsufferADR,anddividingtheproductbythetotalnumberof
subjects studied. When two drugs are studied, the same calculation may be repeated for the second drug. Then, by
constructinga262tablewiththeexpectedfrequenciesofresponderswithandwithoutADR,andnon-responderswithand
without ADR, the odds ratio and relative risk with their confidence intervals may be easily calculated and graphically
representedonalogarithmicscale.Suchmeasuresrepresent‘‘netefficacyadjustedforrisk’’(NEAR). Weassayedthemodel
withresultsextractedfromseveralpublishedclinicaltrialsormeta-analyses.Oncomparingourresultswiththoseoriginally
reportedbytheauthors,markeddifferenceswerefoundinsomecases,withADRarisingasarelevantfactortobalancethe
clinicalbenefitobtained.Theparticularfeaturesoftheadversereactionthatmustbeweighedagainstbenefitisdiscussedin
thepaper.
Conclusion:NEARrepresentingoverallrisk-benefitmaycontributetoimprovingknowledgeofdrugclinicalusefulness.As
mostpublishedclinicaltrialstendtooverestimatebenef
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