Optimizing intensive care capacity using individual length-of-stay prediction models 英文参考文献.docVIP

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Optimizing intensive care capacity using individual length-of-stay prediction models 英文参考文献.doc

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Optimizing intensive care capacity using individual length-of-stay prediction models 英文参考文献

Available online /content/11/2/R42 Research Open Access Vol 11 No 2 Optimizing intensive care capacity using individual length-of-stay prediction models Mark Van Houdenhoven1,4,5, Duy-Tien Nguyen1,2, Marinus J Eijkemans2, Ewout W Steyerberg2, Hugo W Tilanus3, Diederik Gommers4,5, Gerhard Wullink1,4,5, Jan Bakker5 and Geert Kazemier1,3 1Department of Operating Rooms, Erasmus University Medical Center, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands 2Department of Public Health, Erasmus University Medical Center, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands 3Department of Surgery, Erasmus University Medical Center, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands 4Department of Anesthesiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands 5Department of Intensive Care, Erasmus University Medical Center, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands Corresponding author: Gerhard Wullink, g.wullink@erasmusmc.nl Received: 7 Dec 2006 Revisions requested: 14 Jan 2007 Revisions received: 16 Feb 2007 Accepted: 27 Mar 2007 Published: 27 Mar 2007 Critical Care 2007, 11:R42 (doi:10.1186/cc5730) This article is online at: /content/11/2/R42 ? 2007 Van Houdenhoven et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Abstract Introduction Effective planning of elective surgical procedures requiring postoperative intensive care is important in preventing cancellations and empty intensive care unit (ICU) beds. To improve planning, we constructed, validated and tested three models designed to predict length of stay (LOS) in the ICU in individual patients. performance of the model was compared with prediction based on mean LOS. Results The intra-ICU model had an r2 of 45% after in