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Periodic Active Case Finding for TB When to Look 英文参考文献
PeriodicActiveCaseFindingforTB:WhentoLook?
PeterJ.Dodd1*,RichardG.White1,ElizabethL.Corbett1,2
1LondonSchoolofHygieneandTropicalMedicine,London,UnitedKingdom,2Malawi-LiverpoolWellcomeTrustClinicalResearchProgramme,Blantyre,Malawi
Abstract
Objective:Toinvestigatethefactorsinfluencingtheperformanceandcost-efficacyofperiodicroundsofactivecasefinding
(ACF)forTB.
Methods:AmathematicalmodelofTBdynamicsandperiodicACF(PACF)intheHIVera,simplifiedbyassumingconstant
prevalenceoflatentTBinfection,isanalyzedforfeaturesthatcontrolinterventionoutcome,measuredascasesavertedand
casesfound.ExplanatoryvariablesincludebaselineTBincidence,intervalbetweenPACFrounds,anddifferentroutineand
PACFcase-detectionratesamongHIV-infectedanduninfectedTBcases.
Findings:PACFcanbecost-savingovera10yeartimeframeifthecost-per-roundislowerthanathresholdproportionalto
initialincidenceandcost-per-case-treated.Morecasesareavertedathigherbaselineincidencerates,whenmorepotent
PACF strategiesareused, intervals betweenPACF roundsareshorter, andwhen theratioof HIV-negativetopositiveTB
cases detected is higher. More costly approaches, e.g. radiographic screening, can be as cost-effective as less costly
alternativesifPACFcase-detectionishigherand/orimplementationlessfrequent.
Conclusion:PeriodicACFcanbothimprovecontrolandsavemedium-termhealthcarecostsinhighTBburdensettings.
GreatercostsofhighlyeffectivePACFatfrequent(e.g.yearly)intervalsmaybeoffsetbyhighernumbersofcasesavertedin
populationswithhighbaselineTBincidence,higherprevalenceofHIV-uninfectedcases,highercostsper-case-treated,and
more effective routine case-detection. Less intensive approaches may still be cost-neutral or cost-saving in populations
lackingoneormoreofthesekeydeterminants.
Citation:DoddPJ,WhiteRG,CorbettEL(2011)PeriodicActiveCaseFindingforTB:WhentoLook?PLoSONE6(12):e29130.doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0029130
Editor:SrikanthPrasadTripathy,NationalAIDSResearchInstitute,India
ReceivedJune30,2011;AcceptedNovember21,2011;PublishedDecember22,2011
Co
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