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Prioritizing Investment in Medical Education 英文参考文献
Correspondence
Rational Choices for Allocating
Antiretrovirals in Africa: Treatment
Equity, Epidemiological Ef?ciency,
and Feasibility
methodology, that it is possible to use mathematics to decide
how to achieve treatment equity [3]. Thus, it is possible to
devise a mathematically ethical solution to decide how to
allocate a scarce supply of antiretrovirals if the objective is to
achieve treatment equity [3]. We have shown that treatment
equity is only possible in some areas of South Africa if each of
the available health-care facilities treat individuals with HIV in
David P. Wilson, Sally M. Blower
a large catchment area (radius of approximately 40–60 km )
2
We agree with the thesis of Rosen et al. [1] that, despite
initiatives such as the World Health Organization’s “3 by
5” program, rationing of HIV/AIDS antiretroviral therapy
(ART) will be necessary in the majority of African countries.
Dif?cult choices will need to be made, and choices will be
constrained due to the limited health infrastructure and lack
of quali?ed health personnel in many African countries.
Rosen et al. outlined a number of useful rationing systems
and selection criteria [1].
[3]. Hence, in some African countries, it may be impossible
to achieve treatment equity even if it is possible to achieve a
rationing strategy that would ensure the maximum reduction
of the epidemic. Therefore, government of?cials and health
policy experts in each African country will have to decide
the relative weight that they wish to place on treatment
equity versus epidemiological ef?ciency when they decide
how to ration their scarce supply of antiretrovirals. We also
stress that when using mathematical models to evaluate any
rationing strategy, single scenarios should not be used to
make complex decisions. There is a large degree of variability
in the parameters that de?ne each strategy and a great deal
of heterogeneity in how a given strategy will be implemented.
Accordingly, we recommend that time-dependent unce
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