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Resource Allocation for Epidemic Control in Metapopulations 英文参考文献
ResourceAllocationforEpidemicControlin
Metapopulations
MartialL.NdeffoMbah1,2*,ChristopherA.Gilligan2
1YaleSchoolofPublicHealth,YaleUniversity,NewHaven,Connecticut,UnitedStatesofAmerica,2DepartmentofPlantSciences,UniversityofCambridge,Cambridge,
UnitedKingdom
Abstract
Deploymentoflimitedresourcesisanissueofmajorimportancefordecision-makingincrisisevents.Thisisespeciallytrue
for large-scale outbreaks of infectious diseases. Little is known when it comes to identifying the most efficient way of
deployingscarce resources forcontrolwhendiseaseoutbreaksoccurin differentbutinterconnected regions.Thepolicy
maker is frequently faced with the challenge of optimizing efficiency (e.g. minimizing the burden of infection) while
accounting for social equity (e.g. equal opportunity for infected individuals to access treatment). For a large range of
diseasesdescribedbyasimpleSIRSmodel,weconsiderstrategiesthatshouldbeusedtominimizethediscountednumber
ofinfectedindividualsduringthecourseofanepidemic.Weshowthatwhenfacedwiththedilemmaofchoosingbetween
sociallyequitableandpurelyefficientstrategies,thechoiceofthecontrolstrategyshouldbeinformedbykeymeasurable
epidemiological factors such as the basic reproductive number and the efficiency of the treatment measure. Our model
providesnewinsightsforpolicymakersintheoptimaldeploymentoflimitedresourcesforcontrolintheeventofepidemic
outbreaksatthelandscapescale.
Citation: Ndeffo Mbah ML, Gilligan CA (2011) Resource Allocation for Epidemic Control in Metapopulations. PLoS ONE 6(9): e24577. doi:10.1371/
journal.pone.0024577
Editor:MichaelGeorgeRoberts,MasseyUniversity,NewZealand
ReceivedApril18,2011;AcceptedAugust14,2011;PublishedSeptember13,2011
Copyright:?2011NdeffoMbah,Gilligan.Thisisanopen-accessarticledistributedunderthetermsoftheCreativeCommonsAttributionLicense,whichpermits
unrestricteduse,distribution,andreproductioninanymedium,providedtheoriginalauthorandsourcearecredited.
Funding:ThisworkwassupportedbyaGatesCambridgeTrustScholars
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