黄土高原汛期降水年代际演变.pdfVIP

第27卷第6期 水土保持通报 Vo1．27．No．6 2007年12月 Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation Dec．，2007 黄土高原汛期降水年代际演变 王毅荣 ，张旭东 ，冯建英 (1．中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室， 中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室，甘肃 兰州730020；2．兰州区域气候中心，甘肃兰州730020) 摘 要：利用黄土高原区域40 a的降水资料，研究汛期降水年代际演变。结果表明，黄土高原汛期旱涝交 错的变化幅度不断减小；降水带南移雨量带南移。2O世纪8O年代较6O年代南移0。6个纬度，9O年代南移 约1．8个纬度(高原东部地区南移4个纬度)。前3个模态演变的转折(突变)时间和显著程度不同，但其振 荡强度和周期的阶段性与降水对应较好。多雨期降水变幅大，周期短，振荡强。少雨期对应多周期，弱振 荡。降水异常的敏感区年代际变动明显，演化路径基本由东北向西南移动，高原西部旱涝灾害趋向频繁。 关键词：黄土高原；汛期；降水；区域响应 文献标识码：A 文章编号：100O一288X(2007)O6—0067一O4 中图分类号：P461 Decennial Evolvement of Abnormal Rainfall During Flood Season over the Loess Plateau WANG Yi—rong ～．ZHANG Xu—dong ．FENG Jian—ying (1．Key Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province and China Meteorolosical Administrtion，Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology，China Meteorological Administration，Lanzhou，Gansu 730020，China；2．LanzhouRegional Climate Center，Lanzhou，Gansu 730020，China) Abstract：The decennial evolvement of abnormal rainfallin flood season over the Loess Plateau of China were studied using the rainfall data of the recent 40 years。Results showed that the range of abnormal rainfall de— creased in flood season。The rainfall belt significantly shifted to the south with 1．8 lat．degrees from 1960s to 1990s and 0。6 lat．degrees from 1960s to 1980s．Each of the first 3 models of rainfall had different change points and periods，but multiple periods and weak surges corresponded with rainy time，being contrary to the time of rain shortage。The region sensitive to abnormal rainfall flowed from northeast to southwest．The west part of the Loess Plateau tended to be arid． Keywords：Loess Plateau；flood