简论安全管理的警示职能——墨菲定律的启示（A brief discussion on the warning function of safety management -- the revelation of Murphys law）.docVIP

简论安全管理的警示职能——墨菲定律的启示（A brief discussion on the warning function of safety management -- the revelation of Murphys law） A brief discussion on the warning function of safety management -- the Enlightenment of Murphys law Through the study of Murphys law, we get two enlightenments, and then demonstrate that safety management must be issued The scientific principles of warning function also show that the warning function is used to improve the safety management level Important function. Keywords Murphys law; safety management; warning function; enlightenment; On, the, Alert, Function, of, Safety, Management, Inspiration, of Murphys Law Abstract, After, the, study, of, Murphy, s, Law, in, detail, two, points, of Enlightenment, were, gained, I., e., the, Law, verifies, safety, that Management, must, play, an, important, role, in, the, alert, function, and, the Alert, function, is, of, great, importance, in, raising, the,, level, of, the Safety management. Key words: Murphy; s, Law, Safety, management, Alert, function Inspiration 1 Introduction From a large number of accident cases, the existence of the staff concerned about the fluke mentality and careless thinking is led to The main cause of the accident. The author is inspired by Murphys law, through the analysis of safety management process and Conclusions of the study are as follows: the elimination of effective methods and measures about personnel luck and careless thinking Management is to give full play to the warning function of safety management. 2 basic views of Murphys law In mathematical statistics, there is an important statistical rule: suppose an accident occurs in an experiment The probability of occurrence in motion is p (p0), which occurs at least once in the n test (activity) Rate Pn= 1 - - (L - P) n Thus, no matter how small the probability p is (i.e., small probability events), when n becomes larger, the PN becomes more and more The closer it comes to 1. The conclusion was applied to safety management