博弈论简介——博弈论的经典案例囚徒困境 热(A brief introduction to game theory -- a classic case of game theory Prisoners dilemma fever).docVIP
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博弈论简介——博弈论的经典案例囚徒困境 热(A brief introduction to game theory -- a classic case of game theory Prisoners dilemma fever)
A brief introduction to game theory -- a classic case of game theory: Prisoners dilemma
Author: unknown update: 2004-12-18 12:28:01 [font: small big] [join the collection]
A classic case of game theory: Prisoners dilemma
Master of game theory to see the economic and social problems like a chess game, often contain profound truth in the game. So, starting from the common things in our daily life, in the story of us as an example, meanders, not boring.
One day, a rich man was killed at home and his property was stolen. The police in the case of the detection process, caught two suspects, Scarl Faith and the Coors, and found the victim family belongings from their residence. However, they argue that he had been killed, is the first found millionaire was killed, then just stole something from. So the police isolated the two men and tried them in separate rooms. The district attorney spoke individually to each of them. The prosecutor said, because you have proven proof of theft, you may be sentenced to one years sentence.. But I can make a deal with you. If you confess murder alone, Ill only give you three months imprisonment, but your partner will be sentenced to ten years imprisonment. If you refuse to confess and be reported by your partner, you will be sentenced to ten years imprisonment, and he will only be sentenced to three months imprisonment. But if the two of you confess, then youll be sentenced to 5 years imprisonment. Scarl Faith and the Coors do? They are faced with the dilemma of choice - to confess or deny. Obviously, the best strategy is that both sides deny, and the result is that everyone is only sentenced for one year. But due to the two circumstances in isolation can not collusion. Therefore, in accordance with Adam Simys theory, everyone is from the selfish purpose, they choose frank confession is the best strategy. Because confession
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