conditional value-at-risk for random immediate reward variables in markov decision processes条件风险价值马尔可夫决策过程的随机变量直接奖励.pdfVIP
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conditional value-at-risk for random immediate reward variables in markov decision processes条件风险价值马尔可夫决策过程的随机变量直接奖励
American Journal of Computational Mathematics, 2011, 1, 183-188
doi:10.4236/ajcm.2011.13021 Published Online September 2011 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/ajcm)
Conditional Value-at-Risk for Random Immediate
Reward Variables in Markov Decision Processes
Masayuki Kageyama, Takayuki Fujii, Koji Kanefuji, Hiroe Tsubaki
The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan
E-mail : kageyama@ism.ac.jp
Received May 17, 2011; revised August 10, 2011; accepted August 22, 2011
Abstract
We consider risk minimization problems for Markov decision processes. From a standpoint of making the
risk of random reward variable at each time as small as possible, a risk measure is introduced using condi-
tional value-at-risk for random immediate reward variables in Markov decision processes, under whose risk
measure criteria the risk-optimal policies are characterized by the optimality equations for the discounted or
average case. As an application, the inventory models are considered.
Keywords: Markov Decision Processes, Conditional Value-at-Risk, Risk Optimal Policy, Inventory Model
1. Introduction ered. In the reminder of this section, we shall establish
notations that will be used throughout the paper and de-
As a measure of risk for income or loss random variables, fine the problem with a new risk measure.
the variance has been commonly considered since Mark- A Borel set is a Borel subset of a complete separable
owitz work [1]. The variance has the shortcoming that it metric space. For a Borel set X , BX denotes the
does not approximately account for the phenomenon of
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