基于偏最小二乘回归技术性贸易壁垒对我国出口贸易影响的研究.docx

重庆大学硕士学位论文英文摘要ABSTRACTIn recent years, WTO obtains the success on reducing the tariff. However, withmaintaining the import and export management order, protecting domestic consumers’benefit, protecting ecological environment and the life and health of human beings andso on, Technical barriers to trade has became a new trade protection method. TBT hasbrought enormous obstacle to our country and other developing nations’ foreign tradeand has became the trade barrier that is the most covert and difficult to handle in theinternational trade. Under this circumstance, investigating the technical barriers to tradewhich we face and analyzing the impact of technical barriers to Chinas export tradehave much theoretical and practical significance in correctly understanding technicalbarriers to trade，practically making use of them, striding across them and realizing thesustainable development of foreign trade.First, in this paper, we theoretical elaborate the conception of technical barriers totrade, and in-depth analyze its present situation that we face. Based on the analysisabove, we qualitatively analyze the positive and negative impact of technical barriers totrade. Secondly, combining with other traditional factors, we adopt the partialleast-squares regression to do a quantitative comparison study, using exports, exportgrowth rate, industrial competitiveness and conventional industries exports as dependentvariable. Then, We draw a conclusion: technical barriers to trade exert a negativeinfluence on exports, export growth rate, industrial competitiveness and conventionalindustries exports, but the effects is not particularly large; compare with technicalbarriers to trade, the influence of traditional factors is bigger; fixed asset investment andscience and technology are still strong driving forces for Chinas export and industrialcompetitiveness, while the affect of FDI decrease; Chinas exports, especiallyconventional industries exports depend too much on processing trade