原创力文档associations between attributes of live poultry trade and hpai h5n1 outbreaks a descriptive and network analysis study in northern vietnam活禽的属性之间的关联交易和高致病性禽流感h5n1疫情在越南北部描述性和网络分析研究.pdfVIP
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associations between attributes of live poultry trade and hpai h5n1 outbreaks a descriptive and network analysis study in northern vietnam活禽的属性之间的关联交易和高致病性禽流感h5n1疫情在越南北部描述性和网络分析研究
Soares Magalhães et al. BMC Veterinary Research 2010, 6:10
/1746-6148/6/10
RESEARCH ARTICLE Open Access
Associations between attributes of live poultry
trade and HPAI H5N1 outbreaks: a descriptive
and network analysis study in northern Vietnam
1,2*† 1† 3 3 4
Ricardo J Soares Magalhães , Angel Ortiz-Pelaez , Kim Lan Lai Thi , Quoc Hoang Dinh , Joachim Otte ,
Dirk U Pfeiffer1†
Abstract
Background: The structure of contact between individuals plays an important role in the incursion and spread of
contagious diseases in both human and animal populations. In the case of avian influenza, the movement of live
birds is a well known risk factor for the geographic dissemination of the virus among poultry flocks. Live bird
markets (LBM’s) contribute to the epidemiology of avian influenza due to their demographic characteristics and the
presence of HPAI H5N1 virus lineages. The relationship between poultry producers and live poultry traders (LPT’s)
that operate in LBM’s has not been adequately documented in HPAI H5N1-affected SE Asian countries. The aims of
this study were to document and study the flow of live poultry in a poultry trade network in northern Vietnam,
and explore its potential role in the risk for HPAI H5N1 during 2003 to 2006.
Results: Our results indicate that LPT’s trading for less than a year and operating at retail markets are more likely
to source poultry from flocks located in communes with a past history of HPAI H5N1 outbreaks during 2003 to
2006 than LPT’s trading longer than a year and operating at wholesale markets. The results of the network analysis
indicate that LPT’s tend to link communes of similar infection status.
Conclusions: Our study provides evidence which can be
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