基于中间选民修正模型下的贸易保护解释.doc

本科生论文 姓名 ： xxx 学号 ： xxxx 班级 ： xx班 年 月日 基于中间选民修正模型下的贸易保护解释XXX A brief analysis of trade protection under the revised median voter model XXX xx年xx月xx日 摘 要 将国家政治和经济学相结合，从国家政策制定过程的视角而不是单纯的以经济利益的角度来看待和解释公共政策的产生原因是政治经济学与西方主流经济学的重要区别之一，本文以经典中间选民模型为基础，以解释贸易保护政策被制定的原因为主线，通过对经典中间选民模型选民意愿标准正态分布和零需求弹性假定的修正来了解公共政策特别是贸易保护政策被制定的过程，并在此基础上得出影响贸易保护政策被制定的关键因素以及由此决定的贸易保护的根本特点。 本文主要有六个部分。第一部分为引言，简单的论述了文章的写作背景和写作意义；第二部分为文献综述，通过对几种主流贸易保护理论和政治经济学相关知识的回顾和简要评价来使我们对贸易保护的理论有一个简单的了解；第三部分为经典中间选民模型的修正，通过对中间选民模型的相关假定修正来解释政党竞选获胜的过程及其影响因素；第四部分为中间选民修正模型下的贸易保护解释，将主要用于解释政党竞选过程的经典中间选民修正模型与利益集团的集体行动成本理论相结合，来解释贸易保护政策被制定的政策选择过程；第五部分为实证检验，通过对一则贸易保护案例的简单分析来检验修正后的中间选民模型；第六部分为结论与启示，简单的概述贸易保护政策的根本特点和未来国际贸易的发展趋势，并以此为依据提出几点相关建议。 关键词：贸易保护；贸易自由；利益集团；政治经济学；中间选民模型 Abstract Combining national politics and economics, from the perspective of national policy formulation process rather than a simple perspective on the basis of national economic benefits to explain the causes of trade protection policy is a significant difference between the western political economy of mainstream economics and Political Economics, This paper is based on the?classical?median voter model and regards the explanation of the reason of the trade protection policy as the main line, by the correction of standard normal distribution and zero demand elasticity assumption to understand public policy, especially the process of trade protection policy has been formulated, on the basis of this it is concluded that the key factors influencing the trade protection policy has been formulated and the fundamental characteristics of trade protection. This article mainly has six parts. The first part is the introduction, simply discusses the writing background, reason and meaning of this article. The second part is the literature review, based on several mainstream trade protection theory and political economics knowledge review and a brief evaluation to our theory of trade protection;?The third part is the classical median voter model correction