【精选】基于层次分析法的绵阳市地质灾害易发性评价.pdf

18 1 Vo.l 18, No. 1 2009 2 JOURNAL OF NATURAL DISASTERS Feb., 2009 : 1004-4574(2009) 01-0014-10 王 哲, 易发成 (, 621010) :(AHP), , AHP , , ,, , 90% :; ; ; : P694 : A AHP-based evaluation of occurrance easiness of geological disasters in M ianyang C ity WANG Zhe, YI Fa-cheng ( SouthwestUniversity of Science and Technology, M ianyang 621010, China) Abs tract: Based on analyticalhierarchy process(AHP), the text expatiated process and approach ofAHP in evalu- ation ofoccurrance easinessofgeologicaldisasters, and established hierarchical structure odeland judge ent a- trix. Consequently, theweight of factors of i pacting occurrance easiness of geological disasterswas ascertained, and the athe atical evaluation olelfor occurrance easiness of single and regionalgeologicaldisasterswas setup. The approachwas successfully applied in evaluation ofoccurrance easinessofgeologicaldisasters inM ianyang City, the result indicates that the ethod is reasonable and effective. At the sa e ti e, the evaluation result has high precision w ith fitting degree greater than 90 percent. K ey w ord s: analytic hierarchy process; geological disaster; evaluation of probability of occurrence; M ianyang City , 20a, , 1995- 2003, 1049965356575, 1167 64 2003, 16, 1155 2014 [ 1] 10 a,: , : 2007- 10- 10; : 2007- 12- 18 : ( 1979- ), , , . E- ail:WZ2004@ 126. co 1 : # 15# , 400, 1 [2] , 1999,(), , 6() 700, 2002, 168(), 703, 19120, 2. 63 [3] ,() ,