环境污染对区域经济发展的影响研究_基于协整分析和岭回归分析.docxVIP

（Vol.29，No.1）●区域发展［DOI］10.3969/j.issn.1007-5097.2015.01.011环境污染对区域经济发展的影响研究——基于协整分析和岭回归分析戴红军 1，2，孙涛 1，白林 1，张坤 1，3（1.南京航空航天大学 经济与管理学院，江苏 南京 211106；2.淮南师范学院 经济与管理学院，安徽 淮南 232000；3.山东政法学院 信息科学技术系，山东 济南 250014）A Research on the Impact of Environmental Pollution on Regional Economic Development—Based on Cointegration Analysis and Ridge Regression AnalysisDAI Hong-Jun1，2，SUN Tao1，BAI Lin1，ZHANGKun1，3（1. College of Economics and Management，Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics，Nanjing 211106，China；2. College of Economics and Management，Huainan Normal University，Huainan 232000，China；3. Department of Information Science and Technology，Shandong University of Political Science and Law，Jinan 250014，China）Abstract: The paper takes environmental pollution as production input of environmental resource，and builds an en?vironmental resource production function model by using the statistical data of Jiangsu province. The study indicates thatthere is a long-term equilibrium relationship between study variables after making ADF unit root test and Johansen cointegration test on the empirical data. The paper applies ridge regression analysis， which aims to solve the multi? collinearity problem in production function，and calculates the economic contribution of environmental resource inputto regional economic output is 7.0%. The economic contribution of environmental resource input is far greater than the economic losses caused environmental pollution. Therefore，we should perfect taxes and investment criteria related to environmental governance on the basis of the economic contribution of environmental resource input. Meanwhile，we should improve the local government performance evaluation model with GDP at its core，and incorporate ecological environment evaluation index into the model. Finally，we should increase input in education and science，improve thecontribution rate of human