人文发展水平(HDI)与碳排放(CO2C)的关系-COP23.pptVIP

Commitment of Emissions for Human Development:an alternative and practical approach to emissions reductions Jiahua Pan Global Change and Economic Development Programme The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing China Emissions demand for what? Necessary for human survival and development household consumption Basic needs Luxurious/wasteful consumption ?collective consumption Infrastructure Public services Duality nature of emissions There are three duality implications here: Transferability Commodity: tradable Rights for basic human development: not transferable Collective vs. household consumption Collective: infrastructure, public services Private: basic needs and wasteful/luxurious consumptions Public good and public bad Social security and development Climate change Proposition one: Basic needsa right for decent living standard but not unlimitedCbasic ? Cbasic Achievement of human development potentials is a basic human right that should be respected for human development is not unlimited: bounded by biological and physical constraints once development potentials are realised, no need for further increase in emissions but automatic reductions Overall trend of human development: Basic necessity consumption: nutrition(k/c.d) Proposition two: luxurious/wasteful consumption: unlimitedClux ? ? Human nature: a tendency to show superiority over the others: luxurious cars,large houses Neglect: TV stand-by; excessive heating/cooling Such consumption is in existence in both developed and developing countries An overall framework for Commitment An Agreement on commitment of Emissions for Human Development? ? * * Developing a Post Kyoto Policy Framework Side Event at UNFCCC SBSTA 18 Environment Rm II; 13:00 – 15:00, June 2003 Sufficiency rate: around 3200 calories/day/capita LDCs: lower than subsistence China,Brazil: in between, still increasing y = ce b/x; b0; if x??, y = c Life expectancy potential: 85yrs (national average), at $20000/c Acceptabl