生产管理－国外权威原版英文讲义2.pptVIP

Chapter Two Forecasting Introduction(1) Introduction(2) The Time Horizon in Forecasting Fig.2-1 Forecast Horizons in Operation Planning Classification of Forecasts Objective Forecasting Methods Objective Forecasting Methods Objective Forecasting Methods Objective Forecasting Methods Objective Forecasting Methods Notation Convention Evaluating Forecast Evaluating Forecast Evaluating Forecast Methods of Forecasting Stationary Series Stationary time series: each observation can be represented by a constant plus a random fluctuation. Methods of Forecasting Stationary Series Moving Average-A moving