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China’s coal supplydemand and their impact on international coal
China’s coal supply/demand and their impact on international coal marketGeorge Guanghua Liu AAA Minerals International Contents 1. Review of Chinese coal production and consumption;2. Outlook for Chinese steaming coal supply and demand; 3. Outlook for Chinese coke supply and its demand;4.?Tendency of Chinese coal export and import;5. Conclusions of their impacts on international market. Topic One: Review of Chinese coal production and consumption Chinese coal supply and demand underwent cyclic changes from middle 1970s; the recent cycle began in year of 2000; The changes are mainly caused by the government’s policies and GDP growth; The influence of international coal market is limited. Raw coal output from 1975 to 2005 (Bt) Domestic consumption of raw coalin China from 1980 to 2004(BMt) Topic Two: Outlook for Chinese thermal coal supply and demand Thermal coal in China is not only used for power generation, but also for industries and household as fuel and raw stuff; Thermal coal demand increased sharply in the last 4 years, as a result of dramatic growth of power output. Chinese thermal coal supply and demand Outlook of domestic power coal demand in next 15 years, in comparison with raw coal demand(BMt) Topic Three: Chinese coke supply and demand China is the biggest coke producer, exporter and consumer of the world; Both China’s and world’s demands for coke speeded China’s coke production; Coke exportation are discouraged by increasing domestic demand, decreasing coking coal resources and shut down small coking ovens. Chinese coke output is a big boy in the international coke market. In 2003 it made up 46% of the world’s total coke production. Historical coke outputs of China and world(MMt) Historical coke exports of China and the rest world(MMt) Met. coal supply from 1995 to 2005 (MMt) Outlook of Chinese met.
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