气候变化对草地畜牧业的影响PPT.pptVIP

气候变化对草地畜牧业的影响 ;提纲 Outline;1气候变化对北方草地畜牧业地区边界有影响 Impacts of Climate change (CC) on regional border of grassland and pasture husbandry ;;;;;图3-7 1971-2000年北方农牧交错带边界移动情况 ;2 气候年际变化对牧草生物量的影响 Impact of CC on pasture and grass biomass;;3 气候对牧草物候期的影响与动态模拟 Impacts of CC on phenological period of grass and its simulation;额尔古纳羊草和贝加尔针茅的返青期和枯黄期的相关性 correlation of the period of seedling establishment and the brown period in two species (China Leymus and Needlegrass);巴雅尔吐胡硕地区羊草、冰草和萎陵菜1995-2007年返青期和枯黄期的变化趋势 Change of the period of seedling establishment and the brown period from 1995 to 2007 in three grass species; ;镶黄旗冰草返青期与温度、开花期与和降水的相关关系 correlation of the period of seedling establishment and temperature in spring (a); correlation of the period of flowering and precipitation (b) of Wheatgrass at Xianghuang Qi ;冷蒿、糙隐子草和芦苇物候期与气候因子相关性分析 Correlation analysis of climatic factor and phenological period in three grass species;建立天然草地模型,可分别对羊草,针茅进行模拟Development Grass simulation model To simulate development of Leymus and needlgrass et al;牧草物候阶段划分及其形态指标 Phenological stage index system;天然牧草物候期基本模型Phenological period model;即每天的发育时期指数等于前一天的发育速率与当天发育速率的和，当发育时期指数累加到DSI时，则表示生育阶段模拟完成，得到的该生育阶段的天数。此时，牧草即将进入下一个生育阶段。并以此类推，即可模拟牧草整个物候期的变化。 ;温度和光照对发育的影响Impact of temperature and light on grass development;模型的参数 Parameters;牧草不同物候阶段的温光指标范围 Range of index value for each phenological period ;模型参数调试 Modelling test;牧草物候模型验证 Validation of Phenological period simulation;察右后旗和鄂温克旗针茅返青期模拟值与实测值的比较 Comparison of simulated phenological period and measured phenological period ;呼伦贝尔牧业试验站羊草产量变化(gm-2)Change of Chinese wildrye? production in Hulunber trial station;呼伦贝尔牧业试验站牧草总产量变化(gm-2) Change of pasture? production in Hulunber trial station;呼伦贝尔9月30日生物量与年降水量的关系Correlation of biomass production on 30th September and annual precipitation in Hulunber;小结 Brief summary;4 基于SPACSYS模型的饲草作物生育模拟与情景分析 CC on pasture development and growth with SPACSYS model;Lianhai Wu Crop Soil Systems Research Group S