巴黎银行-巴西-宏观经济-巴西：审判Lula.pdfVIP

Brazil: Lula’s trial  The Appeals court is scheduled to decide on Mr Lula’s corruption conviction on 24 January. Authors: Gustavo Arruda  If the conviction is unanimously upheld (3x0), Lula would likely be barred from running in the Economist presidential race. In case of a divided verdict (2x1), uncertainties could continue. Banco BNP Paribas Brasil SA  We have created a flow chart with the main potential outcomes and consequences. Appeals Court to judge on The Appeals Court (TRF-4) is scheduled to review on 24 January the corruption conviction of Lula’s case on 24 January former president Lula. If the conviction is upheld, according to law, then Lula would be out of the presidential race. Lula was earlier found guilty of money laundering and passive corruption charges by Judge Sergio Moro in an investigation related to the car wash scandal. A panel of three judges will review Judge Moro’s decision. They will not only decide on the case but also on the sentence. The Appeals Court’s decision would be made as follows: first, the reporting judge (chosen to review Judge Moro’s decision) will speak and vote; second, the reviewing judge will deliver his speech and vote; and finally, the third judge could give a final comment and vote. The verdict would be announced the same day, though there is no set time. The verdict as well as the score (unanimous, or not), are relevant for the upcoming election. Scenario