千金药业股票投资分析报告.docVIP

股票投资分析报告 分析对象： 证券代码： 目 录 一．基本面分析······················································1 1.宏观经济分析················································· （1）财政政策··················································· （2）货币政策··················································· （3）汇率政策··················································· 2.行业分析····················································· （1）利好······················································· （2）利空······················································· （3）结论······················································· 3.公司财务分析·················································· （1）公司财务横向分析···································· （2）公司财务纵向分析···································· 二技术面分析······················································ 1.K线理论分析················································· 2.切线理论分析················································ （1）趋势线····················································· （2）通道线····················································· （3）甘氏线····················································· （4）黄金分割线 ······································ 3.形态理论分析················································ 4.技术指标分析·············································· （1）MACD、DMA、TRIX指标········································ （2）DMI、 EMV指标·············································2 （3）BB、BOLL、WIDTH指标······································ 基本面分析 宏观经济分析 2011年，在“控物价、保增长、调结构”的宏观政策引导下，国内经济发展仍保持平稳较快增长速度。随着全球经济一体化程度越来越高，中国对世界经济增长的影响力不断增强，国内经济社会的发展也越来越受到全球经济的影响。欧美主要经济体引起的国际金融危机也殃及中国经济。 2012年，为应对全球经济走向的不确定性，我国将继续实施以稳健为主的宏观调控政策、金融紧缩政策，将引起内需增长放缓，经济增长速度将小幅回调。区域内经济增长热点不显著，国家投资主要投向生态环境保护以及基础教育、农村医疗、保障房建设等改善民生工程等，交通运输等重点工程项目减少，对于投资拉动型水泥产业影响较为显著，需求较上年趋于平稳或稳中有降。 从需求方面来看：一是农村消费市场潜力巨大。目前，中国尚有7亿农民，随着农民购买力的较快增加，农村消费将随之不断扩大，对耐用消费品需求将进入快速增长的阶段；二是城乡居民教育、医疗保健、文化娱乐、旅游、休闲等消费潜力巨大，城镇就业持续扩大将带动内需的增长；三是汽车、通讯器材、计算机、住房及其装修成为新的消费热点；四是政府投资和企业投资需求仍然很大，非国有经济投资需求潜力将得到巨大释放；五是外商直接投资将继续保持较快增长。从政策层面来看，中央经济工作会议指出要继续实施积极的财政政策和适度宽松的